GRS was projected to win at least 26 of the 55 seats contested in the Sabah election, driven by incumbency and Hajiji Noor’s moderate image. Warisan was expected to hold its east coast strength and possibly take several swing and urban seats, though it lacked statewide momentum.
Chinese voters
Chinese-majority areas showed signs of shifting away from Pakatan Harapan, putting DAP and PKR seats at risk. BN was forecast to secure about nine seats, with PN competitive in only two. Low turnout was expected to favour incumbents, with many out-of-state voters unlikely to return.
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